By Ron Roberts, David Groome
This fascinating new ebook offers an exploration of the novel facet of psychology: parapsychology. Assuming no earlier wisdom of psychology, Roberts explores a wide range of bizarre phenomena (dream telepathy, close to dying studies, alien abductions, astrology, the placebo impression, and know-how in the course of anesthesia and in comas), addressing the myths surrounding paranormal event and putting them in the context of clinical examine.
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Extra info for Parapsychology: The Science of Unusual Experience
Example text
Independent events and the gambler's fallacy An important aspect of probability is the notion of independent events. These are events that have no bearing upon each other. For example, when tossing a coin several times, each spin of the coin is an independent event, and its outcome is unaffected by any previous outcomes. 5 in either case. The concept of independent events is not always well understood. Roulette players sometimes make the assumption that if 'red' has come up several times in a row, then the next spin of the wheel is more likely to come up 'black'.
5 (50%), so the chances of guessing a whole series of cards correctly will be halved with each card selected. 5% chance of guessing three cards in a row correctly. 5%), so there is no reason to look for any other explanation. 2. With the classmates' birthdays (example 2) we can calculate the probability of two people sharing the same birthday from a group of a given size, although it is a little complicated because we need to consider every possible comparison between each member of the group and every one of the other 23 members.
Whichever definition of probability we apply, one thing is clear - the events we are interested in can never be more frequent than the possible events, since they will only occur on some occasions and not on others. Thus the lowest value that a probability can be is zero. This value indicates that the event has not occurred (frequency count) or cannot occur (possibility). Again, if the event of interest happens all of the time, then the ratio of the number of times that this happens to the number of total events is 1, since those numbers are equal.